If you read this...

If you read this, follow this blog...
The following question is from there;

We all heard this paradoxical statement:

This statement is false.

Or a variation:

True or False: The correct answer to this question is ‘False’.

Recently we received a link to the following puzzle, which is similar to the statement above, but has a cute probabilistic twist:

If you choose an answer to this question at random, what is the chance you will be correct?

1. 25%
2. 50%
3. 60%
4. 25%

There are four answers, so you can choose a given answer with probability 25%. But oops, this answer appears twice. Is the correct answer 50%? No, it is not, because there is only one answer 50%. You can see that none of the answers are correct, hence, the answer to the question—the chance to be correct—is 0. Now is the time to introduce our new puzzle:

If you choose an answer to this question at random, what is the chance you will be correct?

1. 25%
2. 50%
3. 0%
4. 25%